Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.277752 1.562227 1.926042 2.438906 3.166932 4.204189 5.879207
2025-02-16 0.869387 1.163264 1.594991 2.318388 3.604720 6.069278 12.168687
2025-02-23 0.696039 0.989674 1.465090 2.373790 4.330397 9.356893 30.831394
2025-03-02 0.597650 0.890161 1.401448 2.493084 5.298465 15.195663 113.598356
2025-03-09 0.517314 0.795991 1.310621 2.505279 6.055557 23.059379 731.785769
2025-03-16 0.447390 0.703406 1.194033 2.401659 6.402047 31.361063 48212.521158
2025-03-23 0.411296 0.663974 1.171054 2.517063 7.695132 57.608546 NaN
2025-03-30 0.375374 0.617891 1.121651 2.539392 8.715257 102.344483 NaN
2025-04-06 0.340326 0.567769 1.051718 2.471967 9.269629 167.338282 NaN
2025-04-13 0.312111 0.527155 0.995027 2.423623 9.931466 308.893156 NaN
2025-04-20 0.301238 0.519983 1.015239 2.641928 12.926237 2479.275146 NaN
2025-04-27 0.287352 0.504392 1.011291 2.777322 15.922353 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.268324 0.475909 0.970253 2.759020 17.659311 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.248166 0.442837 0.911766 2.647432 18.161579 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.236501 0.427224 0.897454 2.721374 21.745935 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.228047 0.417752 0.898180 2.867900 27.960256 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.216756 0.400500 0.873645 2.883112 32.283947 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.203058 0.376363 0.825341 2.757136 32.578509 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.196983 0.369481 0.826899 2.897569 42.903414 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.188848 0.356887 0.809114 2.924804 50.893934 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.179185 0.339796 0.774994 2.842639 53.600948 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.170780 0.325112 0.746511 2.783839 57.721918 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.168894 0.326136 0.767897 3.050106 95.048205 NaN NaN